Player Props: Leveraging ProFitX to Predict Individual Performance
Nick Crain
11/22/22
While the ProFitX Sports Probability Platform (SPP) has proven to be extremely accurate as it relates to predicting winners of NBA games, the Athledex also allows users to gain key insight into the performance of individual players.
Within the Athledex, we project seven different categories for every player in the database. These projections go out as far as ten games, making fans smarter about what to expect from their favorite players as well as giving bettors valuable insight for winning player props.
As a case study for leveraging the Athledex to correctly predict player props, we took five player props from around the league on Nov. 15 and compared the Vegas odds to our projections.
Harrison Barnes (Sacramento Kings)
Vegas: O/U 12.5 pointsProFitX: 14 pointsInsight: Take the OVER Result: 16 points (Winner)
Devin Vassell (San Antonio Spurs)
Vegas: O/U 3.5 reboundsProFitX: 3 reboundsInsight: Take the UNDERResult: 2 rebounds (Winner)
De’Aaron Fox (Sacramento Kings)
Vegas: O/U 5.5 assistsProFitX: 6 assistsInsight: Take the OVERResult: X assists (Winner)
Ivica Zubac (LA Clippers)
Vegas: O/U 1.5 blocksProFitX: 1 blockInsight: Take the UNDERResult: 2 blocks (Loser)
John Wall (LA Clippers)
Vegas: O/U 0.5 stealsProFitX: 1 stealInsight: Take the OVERResult: 1 steal (Winner)
At the end of the night, the Athledex correctly predicted four of the five over/under picks. A bettor that put $100 on each of these five bets would have earned over $250 profit on the day. Whether it’s predicting which team will win a matchup or the stats of individual players, ProFitX gives fans and bettors tools to gain the edge.
